ATP Madrid Day 4 Predictions Including Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi

Grigor Dimitrov vs Jakub Mensik

Head-to-head: First meeting

Grigor Dimitrov has been extremely dominant in his opening round matches of late, not losing any since drawing Alexander Zverev in Cincinnati last year. This season he’s even getting at least two wins in every event he plays. Jakub Mensik will be one of the toughest challenges he could face at this stage of the competition though. The Czech looked fit again as he defeated Yannick Hanfmann and in these conditions, Dimitrov might have a hard time neutralizing his weapons with the backhand slice.
Prediction: Mensik in 3

Cameron Norrie vs Joao Fonseca

Head-to-head: First meeting

Joao Fonseca is an extremely hard player to predict right now with his raw talent shining as much as his lack of experience. He quickly went down 0-4 against Alex Michelsen in the opening round, but dominated the match from that point onwards. The incredible Brazilian gets a draw that’s both tricky and manageable at the same time. Cameron Norrie has been uninspiring of late, but he’s a bit of an expert in wearing down opponents. Win or lose, this match will help Fonseca’s progress.
Prediction: Fonseca in 3

Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi

Head-to-head: First meeting

Matteo Arnaldi was defeated twice by Daniil Medvedev last year, but that was on hard courts and the Italian has made some rapid progress since. His win over Casper Ruud at this venue in 2023 featured so many blistering forehands and he’ll likely attempt to use the altitude conditions to blast his way through a high seed again. Given how much of a natural he is on clay compared to Medvedev, this looks much closer than their rankings or resumes would suggest.
Prediction: Arnaldi in 3